WR · DEN · #14
He ranks WR79 through 5 games, down from WR11. Early, not a finished step down; the downside gets steeper at 31.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
5,766
Range 5,127–6,118
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Elite WR production now; the age curve is already in the score.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
21.9 pts
4.4 PPG
11 rec · 104 rec yds · 1 rec TD
Week 6 projection
7.4 pts
vs SEA · floor–ceiling 4.4–11.3
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Sutton caught 11 passes for 104 yards in 2026, ranking WR79 through 5 games. From WR11 to WR79 through 5 games is a dip in pace, not a locked finish. At 31, age is the lead risk for a WR. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Courtland Sutton.
Is DK Metcalf Still a Startable Dynasty WR?
DK Metcalf posted a career-low receiving season in 2025 playing with an aging Aaron Rodgers. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value with a new head coach in Pittsburgh.
Does the Move to New England Help or Hurt A.J. Brown's Value?
A.J. Brown left a strained situation in Philadelphia to reunite with his first NFL head coach in New England. Here's what the move means for his dynasty value.
Half-PPR points
21.9
PPG
4.4
Rank so far
WR79
Key stats
2026 week shape
0/5 Boom 0%
3/5 Bust 60%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | WR79so far | 21.9 | 4.4 | 11 | 104 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | WR11 | 182.7 | 10.7 | 74 | 1017 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR13 | 199.8 | 12.5 | 81 | 1081 | 8 | — | — | 30 | 1 |
| 2023 | WR35 | 160.7 | 10.0 | 59 | 772 | 10 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR43 | 127.4 | 8.5 | 64 | 829 | 2 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | WR46 | 121.2 | 7.1 | 58 | 776 | 2 | — | — | 16 | — |
| 2020 | WR181 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 3 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | WR19 | 186.4 | 11.7 | 72 | 1112 | 6 | 17 | — | 38 | — |
| 2018 | WR51 | 115.3 | 7.2 | 42 | 704 | 4 | -1 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 8.8 | LAC | 56 plays · 48% pass | 18 / 1 TD · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 0.9Bust | SF | 64 plays · 66% pass | 4 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 6.1 | LA | 59 plays · 58% pass | 46 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 4.0Bust | JAX | 59 plays · 53% pass | 25 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 2.1Bust | KC | 43 plays · 65% pass | 11 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 9.2 · scored 8.8 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +0.4.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 85.4% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
92.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (40 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
59th of 81
69th of 81
31st of 81
20th of 81
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.