WR · SEA · #11
Current rank is WR1 through 5 games — WR2 was the last finished season.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
8,601
Range 7,494–9,024
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
121.0 pts
24.2 PPG
37 rec · 583 rec yds · 7 rec TD
Week 6 projection
15.4 pts
@ DEN · floor–ceiling 13.7–27.3
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Smith-Njigba caught 37 passes for 583 yards in 2026, ranking WR1 through 5 games. At 25, he's in the typical WR peak window. Into 2026, the projection still expects starter production. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
Redzone & Stalled: Week 4
Touchdowns powered Week 4's biggest beats, and a few offenses threw too little for their stars to hit. The largest gaps between projection and score.
Buy-Low, Sell-High: After Week 4
Two running backs rode three-touchdown games on 62 rushing yards each, and two stars with bad Sundays are still priced at the top of the Week 5 board.
Week 4 Fantasy Football Rankings
Josh Allen and Brock Purdy lead a quarterback board reshaped by injury, plus who's actually startable at every position this week.
Buy-Low, Sell-High: Week 2
One Week 2 riser worth selling into the hype, and one quiet star worth buying while a leaguemate is still staring at the box score.
Redzone & Stalled: Week 2
Week 2 dynasty risers and busts: who blew past the projection, and the two quarterbacks who never got going.
Biggest Overreactions of Week 2
Four Week 2 takes already spreading that the data doesn't fully back — plus one call from last week that just paid off.
Sam Darnold "Dodged a Bullet." Here's His Updated Timeline.
Sam Darnold's MRI results are in — the Seahawks say he "dodged a bullet." Here's his return timeline and updated dynasty value after Week 1.
Sam Darnold Is Out for the Rest of Week 1. Here's What We Know.
Sam Darnold is out for the rest of Seattle's Week 1 opener with a right hip injury. Here's what it means for his dynasty value and Drew Lock's outlook.
The Season Is Here — What to Know Before Week 1 Kicks Off
Dynasty and redraft managers, the season starts tonight. Here's every Week 1 storyline, injury tag, and lineup question that matters before kickoff.
Is Rome Odunze Finally Ready for a Real Breakout in 2026?
Rome Odunze was on a WR1 pace before a foot injury wiped out his 2025 season. Here's why his dynasty value points up with DJ Moore gone and Ben Johnson calling plays.
Is Ladd McConkey a Buy-Low After a Rough Sophomore Year?
Ladd McConkey fell from WR12 to WR29, but his quarterback broke his hand and his offensive line collapsed around him. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value.
Zay Flowers Just Got Paid — Does the Ravens' Offense Hold Him Back?
Zay Flowers signed a $140 million extension after a WR7 breakout, but Baltimore's offense was one of the league's lowest-volume passing attacks. Here's his dynasty value.
Is Malik Nabers a Top-5 Dynasty WR Regardless of QB Play?
Malik Nabers tore his ACL in Week 4 and needed a second cleanup surgery in May. Here's an honest look at his recovery timeline and dynasty value heading into 2026.
You're Rebuilding. Here's Who to Target.
Dynasty rebuilds are won on three fronts — rookie draft capital, real buy-low gaps between 2026 projection and Dynasty Value Score, and knowing which vets to flip while that score is still high.
Is Tetairoa McMillan a Star Trapped by His Situation?
Tetairoa McMillan was the best rookie receiver in football by advanced metrics, but his chemistry with Bryce Young raises real questions. Here's his dynasty value.
Is Marvin Harrison Jr. Still a Dynasty Buy, or Is the Bust Talk Real?
Marvin Harrison Jr.'s sophomore season was rougher than his rookie year, with real drop issues and a crowded target hierarchy. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value.
Is JSN's Breakout Year Real or a Product of Volume?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba led the NFL in receiving yards, won a Super Bowl, and just signed a $168.6 million extension. Here's why his dynasty value isn't a volume mirage.
Is Amon-Ra St. Brown the Safest WR1 in Dynasty?
Amon-Ra St. Brown has finished WR3 in half-PPR in each of the last three seasons. Here's why he might be dynasty's safest asset at the position.
Is CeeDee Lamb Still a True WR1 After a Down Year?
Lamb played through a high ankle sprain for most of 2025 and still finished 2nd in deep receiving yards. NextDyne's model still has him as the WR1 for 2026.
Is Ja'Marr Chase Untouchable in Dynasty Trades?
Ja'Marr Chase owns the top Dynasty Value Score of any receiver. Here's whether that makes him a true untouchable, or just the best asset with a price.
Is Brian Thomas Jr. a Buy-Low After His Sophomore Slump?
BTJ went from a Pro Bowl rookie to one of 2025's biggest fantasy busts. Here's why the injuries, not the talent, explain the collapse.
Half-PPR points
121.0
PPG
24.2
Rank so far
WR1
Key stats
2026 week shape
4/5 Boom 80%
0/5 Bust 0%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | WR1so far | 121.0 | 24.2 | 37 | 583 | 7 | 16 | — | 14 | — |
| 2025 | WR2 | 300.4 | 17.7 | 119 | 1793 | 10 | 36 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR10 | 203.0 | 11.9 | 100 | 1130 | 6 | 26 | — | 35 | — |
| 2023 | WR48 | 118.3 | 7.0 | 63 | 628 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 20.3Boom | SF | 55 plays · 53% pass | 102 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 16 | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 10.1 | LAC | 55 plays · 40% pass | 76 · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 30.4Boom | WAS | 64 plays · 72% pass | 128 / 2 TD · 10 rec | 0 | 14 |
| 2026 W2 | 38.0Boom | ARI | 66 plays · 39% pass | 155 / 3 TD · 9 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 22.2Boom | NE | 46 plays · 52% pass | 122 / 1 TD · 8 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 18.6 · scored 20.3 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss -1.7.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 77.4% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
92.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (20 overall) WR · that slot hit at 60.0% in 2010–2023 classes (n=55; contributor 72.7%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
55th of 81
53rd of 81
27th of 81
1st of 81
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.