Josh Downs headshot

WR · IND · #2

Josh Downs

Height
HT 5'9"
Weight
WT 171 lbs
Birth date
Aug 12, 2001 (age 25.2)
College
North Carolina

25-year-old WR.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

4,097

Range 3,648–4,303

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.

Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 total FP

34.9 pts

7.0 PPG

20 rec · 249 rec yds

Week 6 projection

8.0 pts

vs TEN · floor–ceiling 4.2–11.9

Dynasty Value Score over time

3,8003,9004,0004,1004,200Preseason 2026: 3,892Preseason 20262026 W1: 4,0902026 W12026 W2: 4,1592026 W22026 W3: 4,0902026 W32026 W4: 4,1232026 W42026 W5: 4,0972026 W5

History starts Preseason 2026.

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.98

    One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

Quick answer

Hold

Downs caught 20 passes for 249 yards in 2026, ranking WR48 through 5 games. Age 25 WR — the profile is quiet, not loud. 2026 looks more like a flex than a locked starter. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Josh Downs.

2026 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

34.9

PPG

7.0

Rank so far

WR48

Key stats

  • Rec: 20 (WR27)
  • Rec yds: 249 (WR31)
  • Rec TD: —

2026 week shape

0/5 Boom 0%

2/5 Bust 40%

Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2026WR48so far34.97.020249—————
2025WR48107.46.7585664-2———
2024WR36147.510.572803512———
2023WR46123.17.2687712————

Career arc

0501001502002023: 123.1 Half-PPR12320232024: 147.5 Half-PPR14820242025: 107.4 Half-PPR10720252026: 34.9 Half-PPR3520262026 projection: 144.5 Half-PPR1442026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2026)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2026 W56.2PIT68 plays · 65% pass47 · 3 rec00
2026 W43.1BustWAS64 plays · 53% pass16 · 3 rec00
2026 W310.2HOU67 plays · 54% pass77 · 5 rec00
2026 W210.7KC63 plays · 49% pass72 · 7 rec00
2026 W14.7BustBAL51 plays · 61% pass37 · 2 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

Boom 20+Bust under 5
51015202512345Week

Hover a week for the total.

Week 5 Engine grade

Projected 8.9 · scored 6.2 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +2.7.

League-wide accuracy table

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • PIT
    -0% · 234 pass yards
  • WAS
    +15% · 269 pass yards
  • HOU
    +9% · 256 pass yards
  • KC
    -2% · 229 pass yards
  • BAL
    +2% · 238 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 58.7% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

25507510012345Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

67.2%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
1
Avg depth of target
7.2
Drop %
4.5%

Durability

  • 2024
    14 G · 2 Out
  • 2025
    16 G · 1 Out
  • 2026
    5 G
  • 16.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short slate.

R3 (79 overall) WR · that slot hit at 18.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=64; contributor 34.4%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table

Separation
2.81yd

39th of 81

Cushion
6.20yd

39th of 81

YAC above expected
1.54yd

13th of 81

Air yards share
36.5%

17th of 81

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Josh Downs's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Downs scores 4,097 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Josh Downs's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 8.5 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Josh Downs in dynasty right now?
This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.