Luther Burden III headshot

WR · CHI · #10

Luther Burden III

Height
HT 6'0"
Weight
WT 210 lbs
Birth date
Dec 12, 2003 (age 22.8)
College
Missouri

The running rank is WR26 through 5 games, from WR50. Don't treat that like a season finish.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

3,637

Range 2,944–3,951

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.

Young WR with proof and a long runway.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 total FP

44.3 pts

8.9 PPG

23 rec · 266 rec yds · 1 rec TD

Week 6 projection

9.6 pts

@ ATL · floor–ceiling 10.5–14.7

Dynasty Value Score over time

3,3003,4003,5003,6003,7003,800Preseason 2026: 3,428Preseason 20262026 W1: 3,5792026 W12026 W2: 3,6572026 W22026 W3: 3,7022026 W32026 W4: 3,6742026 W42026 W5: 3,6372026 W5

History starts Preseason 2026.

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Combine ×1.01

    Athletic composite 6.8/10 (RAS-like; fades after year 2).

  • Org environment ×1.01

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Buy

Burden caught 23 passes for 266 yards in 2026, ranking WR26 through 5 games. The running rank is WR26 through 5 games, from WR50. Don't treat that like a season finish. Looking at 2026, he's a situational piece unless the role grows. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Luther Burden III.

2026 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

44.3

PPG

8.9

Rank so far

WR26

Key stats

  • Rec: 23 (WR21)
  • Rec yds: 266 (WR25)
  • Rec TD: 1 (WR34)

2026 week shape

0/5 Boom 0%

1/5 Bust 20%

Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2026WR26so far44.38.923266122———
2025WR50104.47.047652237———

Career arc

0501001502025: 104.4 Half-PPR10420252026: 44.3 Half-PPR4420262026 projection: 126.1 Half-PPR1262026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2026)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2026 W56.9GB64 plays · 63% pass47 · 4 rec20
2026 W49.4NYJ88 plays · 39% pass63 · 4 rec110
2026 W316.3PHI69 plays · 49% pass61 / 1 TD · 7 rec70
2026 W24.7BustMIN66 plays · 53% pass32 · 3 rec00
2026 W17.0CAR68 plays · 43% pass63 · 5 rec20

Weekly Half-PPR

Boom 20+Bust under 5
51015202512345Week

Hover a week for the total.

Week 5 Engine grade

Projected 8.8 · scored 6.9 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +1.9.

League-wide accuracy table

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • GB
    -15% · 199 pass yards
  • NYJ
    -17% · 195 pass yards
  • PHI
    +6% · 248 pass yards
  • MIN
    -17% · 195 pass yards
  • CAR
    +4% · 243 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 39.7% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

25507510012345Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

45.9%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
1
Avg depth of target
7.7
Drop %
6.7%

Durability

  • 2024
    —
  • 2025
    15 G · 2 Out
  • 2026
    5 G
  • 16.0 projected games — recent completed seasons at a full slate.

R2 (39 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table

Separation
2.48yd

58th of 81

Cushion
7.34yd

12th of 81

YAC above expected
0.66yd

29th of 81

Air yards share
27.5%

36th of 81

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Luther Burden III's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Burden scores 3,637 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Luther Burden III's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 7.4 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Luther Burden III in dynasty right now?
The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.