WR · NYJ · #87
Sterling Shepard
- Height
- HT 5'10"
- Weight
- WT 201 lbs
- Birth date
- Feb 10, 1993 (age 33.7)
- College
- Oklahoma
He ranks WR150 through 2 games, down from WR82. Early, not a finished step down; the downside gets steeper at 33.7.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
5
Range 56–209
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Depth/upside bet — WR role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
2.8 pts
1.4 PPG
1 rec · 3 rec yds
Week 6 projection
2.2 pts
@ NE · floor–ceiling 0.8–3.3
Dynasty Value Score over time
History starts Preseason 2026.
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games — slight availability risk, not a short 2026 slate.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Quick answer
WatchShepard caught 1 pass for 3 yards in 2026, ranking WR150 through 2 games. From WR82 to WR150 through 2 games is a dip in pace, not a locked finish. He's 34 now, old enough that decline risk is real. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
2026 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
2.8
PPG
1.4
Rank so far
WR150
Key stats
- Rec: 1 (WR149)
- Rec yds: 3 (WR165)
- Rec TD: —
2026 week shape
0/2 Boom 0%
2/2 Bust 100%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | WR150so far | 2.8 | 1.4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | WR82 | 62.5 | 4.8 | 39 | 371 | 1 | 19 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR91 | 64.3 | 4.9 | 32 | 334 | 1 | 69 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR160 | 15.3 | 1.5 | 10 | 57 | 1 | 6 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR132 | 27.9 | 9.3 | 13 | 154 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | WR98 | 59.7 | 8.5 | 36 | 366 | 1 | -9 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | WR46 | 129.5 | 10.8 | 66 | 656 | 3 | 49 | 1 | — | — |
| 2019 | WR50 | 113.3 | 11.3 | 57 | 576 | 3 | 72 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | WR30 | 149.5 | 9.3 | 66 | 872 | 4 | 33 | — | — | — |
| 2017 | WR43 | 115.0 | 10.5 | 59 | 731 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — |
| 2016 | WR36 | 151.9 | 9.5 | 65 | 683 | 8 | 31 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2026)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W4 | 0.0Bust | CHI | 29 plays · 52% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 2.8Bust | DET | 56 plays · 66% pass | 3 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 4 Engine grade
Projected 2.7 · scored 0.0 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +2.7.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
- CHI-2% · 229 pass yards
- DET+37% · 321 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 56.2% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
70.8%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Broken tackles
- 2
- Avg depth of target
- 8.5
- Drop %
- 0.0%
Durability
- 202413 G · 1 Out
- 202513 G
- 20262 G
- 7.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short slate.
R2 (40 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
- Separation
- 3.21yd
- Cushion
- 6.03yd
- YAC above expected
- 0.22yd
- Air yards share
- 10.6%
21st of 85
51st of 85
55th of 85
72nd of 85
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Sterling Shepard's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Shepard scores 5 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Sterling Shepard's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 1.1 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Sterling Shepard in dynasty right now?
- Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.