QB · ATL · #1
Tua Tagovailoa
- Height
- HT 6'1"
- Weight
- WT 225 lbs
- Birth date
- Mar 2, 1998 (age 28.6)
- College
- Alabama
Through 1 game the rank is QB54, off a QB25 season. Wait for more games before calling it a decline.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
3,764
Range 3,764–4,446
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection Listed role dropped after return — score is at the low end of this range.
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
238.1 pts
14.0 PPG · 15.0 games
3796.8 pass yds · 25 pass TD · 110.2 rush yds
Week 6 projection
9.9 pts
vs CHI · floor–ceiling 4.6–15.4
Dynasty Value Score over time
History starts Preseason 2026.
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games — slight availability risk, not a short 2026 slate.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Quick answer
WatchTagovailoa threw for 34 yards in 2026, ranking QB54 through 1 game. From QB25 to QB54 through 1 game is a dip in pace, not a locked finish. The 2026 projection still has him in every-week starter range. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Tua Tagovailoa.
- RankingsNextDyne
Week 2 Dynasty Winners & Losers: The Real Moves
A real depth-chart flip in Arizona, three tight ends validating their role in the same week, and one injury that actually moved the board.
- NewsNextDyne
Week 2 Injury Roundup: What Actually Changed
What actually changed since Monday's injury report — including Atlanta's QB mess, A.J. Brown's real timeline, and a return that isn't injury-related at all.
- NewsNextDyne
Week 1 Key Injuries: The Ones That Actually Matter
The Week 1 injuries that actually move dynasty rosters — including two along the trenches that did more damage than any skill-position hit.
- StrategyNextDyne
Is Kyle Pitts Ever Going to Live Up to the Draft Capital?
Kyle Pitts was a trade candidate heading into 2025, then finished TE2 and signed a record extension. Here's an honest look at whether the breakout sticks.
- StrategyNextDyne
Is De'Von Achane Still a Must-Start With a Brand-New QB?
Miami released Tua, released Tyreek Hill, and traded Waddle. They still paid Achane a record extension. Here's why that matters more than the QB change.
2026 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
-0.6
PPG
-0.6
Rank so far
QB54
Key stats
- Pass yds: 34 (QB45)
- Pass TD: —
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB54so far | -0.6 | -0.6 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB25 | 160.7 | 11.5 | 2660 | 20 | 43 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB21 | 181.6 | 16.5 | 2867 | 19 | 49 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB11 | 270.4 | 15.9 | 4624 | 29 | 74 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB15 | 230.9 | 17.8 | 3548 | 25 | 70 | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB25 | 180.9 | 13.9 | 2653 | 16 | 128 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB30 | 135.5 | 13.6 | 1814 | 11 | 109 | 3 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2026)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | -0.6Bust | BAL | 61 plays · 57% pass | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 17.5 · scored -0.6 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +18.1.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
- BAL+2% · 238 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 95.4% mean
Pass-play participation
95.8%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 21.9%
- On-target throw %
- 77.0%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.3s
Durability
- 202411 G
- 202514 G
- 20261 G · 2 Out
- 15.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short slate.
R1 (5 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
- Time to throw
- 2.65s
- Aggressiveness
- 13.5%
- CPOE
- -0.3pp
- Air yds to sticks
- -2.1yd
4th of 42
31st of 42
23rd of 42
35th of 42
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Tua Tagovailoa's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Tagovailoa scores 3,764 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Tua Tagovailoa's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 14.0 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Tua Tagovailoa in dynasty right now?
- Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.