WR · MIN · #18
He ranks WR20 through 4 games, after WR25. The season isn't over.
Picked by the Vikings in 2020 via a trade with the Bills.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
6,394
Range 5,695–6,816
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
54.2 pts
13.6 PPG
19 rec · 258 rec yds · 3 rec TD
Week 6 projection
Bye
No game this week
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Jefferson caught 19 passes for 258 yards in 2026, ranking WR20 through 4 games. WR20 through 4 games is the running rank, next to a WR25 season. The 2026 projection still has him in every-week starter range. This is a hold, not a sell or a buy — the swings mean the price should already reflect the risk.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Justin Jefferson.
Dynasty Waiver Wire Targets: After Week 5
Cincinnati, Detroit, Miami and Minnesota are on bye in Week 6. Four adds with usage behind them, including a tight end who saw 13 targets and a Steelers receiver stepping into two absences.
The NFL Injury Wire: Week 5
Chase, Higgins, Jefferson, Jeanty and Daniels are active, Barkley, Smith, Addison and Lamar Jackson are out, and the Chargers' line is gutted. Every Week 5 Sunday update.
Week 5 Injury Report: Sunday Status
Lamar Jackson is out for Sunday night, Ashton Jeanty vanished from Friday's practice, Kyle Monangai and Breece Hall are out, and both Cincinnati receivers are questionable.
Week 5 Fantasy Football Rankings
Matthew Stafford and Puka Nacua lead the Week 5 board, Carolina and Kansas City are on bye, and Lamar Jackson is out for Sunday night.
Week 4 Dynasty Winners & Losers
Injuries rewrote at least four depth charts this week. Ollie Gordon, Emanuel Wilson and Romeo Doubs inherited jobs, and seven players sat out and lost 300 to 500 points.
Week 4 Key Injuries
Lamar Jackson left in a walking boot, Ja'Marr Chase is in the concussion protocol, and Saquon Barkley hurt his hamstring. Monday-morning status on each.
Week 4 Fantasy Football Rankings
Josh Allen and Brock Purdy lead a quarterback board reshaped by injury, plus who's actually startable at every position this week.
Week 3 Key Injuries: Jefferson, Achane, and a Williams Correction
Justin Jefferson and De'Von Achane both left Sunday's games, Caleb Williams' hamstring is worse than first reported, and Puka Nacua is out a second week.
Is Kyler Murray Still Startable After His Concussion?
Kyler Murray's Vikings debut lasted 18 pass yards before a concussion ended his day. He missed Week 2, started Week 3, and the dynasty case still sits on health.
Buy-Low, Sell-High: Week 2
One Week 2 riser worth selling into the hype, and one quiet star worth buying while a leaguemate is still staring at the box score.
Redzone & Stalled: Week 2
Week 2 dynasty risers and busts: who blew past the projection, and the two quarterbacks who never got going.
Dynasty Mailbag: Week 2
Real reader questions on McMillan vs. Price, a big Justin Jefferson trade, and two deep dynasty stashes — answered with live Dynasty Value Scores.
Dynasty Mailbag: Real Reader Trade Questions
Real dynasty trade and roster questions from readers, answered straight with NextDyne's live Dynasty Value Scores.
Zay Flowers Just Got Paid — Does the Ravens' Offense Hold Him Back?
Zay Flowers signed a $140 million extension after a WR7 breakout, but Baltimore's offense was one of the league's lowest-volume passing attacks. Here's his dynasty value.
Is Malik Nabers a Top-5 Dynasty WR Regardless of QB Play?
Malik Nabers tore his ACL in Week 4 and needed a second cleanup surgery in May. Here's an honest look at his recovery timeline and dynasty value heading into 2026.
Is DK Metcalf Still a Startable Dynasty WR?
DK Metcalf posted a career-low receiving season in 2025 playing with an aging Aaron Rodgers. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value with a new head coach in Pittsburgh.
Is T.J. Hockenson Still a Top-5 Dynasty TE?
Kyler Murray just won the Vikings' starting job over J.J. McCarthy. Here's what it means for T.J. Hockenson's dynasty value after two down years.
Is JSN's Breakout Year Real or a Product of Volume?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba led the NFL in receiving yards, won a Super Bowl, and just signed a $168.6 million extension. Here's why his dynasty value isn't a volume mirage.
Kyler Murray Is Officially Minnesota's Starting QB — What That Means for His Dynasty Value
Kyler Murray's dynasty value after he took over as Minnesota's QB1 — the depth chart, the weapons, and what changes for J.J. McCarthy owners.
Keep or Trade Justin Jefferson in Dynasty in 2026?
Justin Jefferson's WR25 finish in 2025 wasn't about him — it was Minnesota's quarterback play. Here's why his dynasty value bounces back in 2026.
Half-PPR points
54.2
PPG
13.6
Rank so far
WR20
Key stats
2026 week shape
1/4 Boom 25%
1/4 Bust 25%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | WR20so far | 54.2 | 13.6 | 19 | 258 | 3 | -11 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | WR25 | 159.5 | 9.4 | 84 | 1048 | 2 | 7 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR2 | 266.0 | 15.6 | 103 | 1533 | 10 | 3 | — | 22 | — |
| 2023 | WR28 | 168.2 | 16.8 | 68 | 1074 | 5 | -12 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR1 | 304.7 | 17.9 | 128 | 1809 | 8 | 24 | 1 | 34 | — |
| 2021 | WR4 | 276.4 | 16.3 | 108 | 1616 | 10 | 14 | — | 35 | — |
| 2020 | WR6 | 230.2 | 14.4 | 88 | 1400 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 15.8 | NO | 66 plays · 46% pass | 79 / 1 TD · 6 rec | -11 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 4.2Bust | TB | 52 plays · 56% pass | 32 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 7.0 | CHI | 48 plays · 42% pass | 55 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 27.2Boom | GB | 58 plays · 41% pass | 92 / 2 TD · 8 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 9.0 · scored 15.8 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss -6.8.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 94.2% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
95.7%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (22 overall) WR · that slot hit at 60.0% in 2010–2023 classes (n=55; contributor 72.7%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
35th of 81
78th of 81
14th of 81
37th of 81
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.