QB · TB · #6
He ranks QB32 through 3 games, down from QB12. Early, not a finished step down.
Traded from CLE to CAR (Jul 6, 2022).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
7,006
Range 6,700–8,050
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection Injured — score leans to the low end of the range until he returns.
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
35.1 pts
11.7 PPG
615 pass yds · 2 pass TD · 65 rush yds
Week 6 projection
0.0 pts
vs PIT · floor–ceiling 0.0–0.0
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Versatility ×1.02
Light floor from multi-role usage (rush+receive or dual-threat).
Mayfield threw for 615 yards and 2 TDs in 2026, ranking QB32 through 3 games. Through 3 games the rank is QB32, off a QB12 season. Wait for more games before calling it a decline. The 2026 projection keeps him in every-week starter range. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Baker Mayfield.
Week 3 Key Injuries: Jefferson, Achane, and a Williams Correction
Justin Jefferson and De'Von Achane both left Sunday's games, Caleb Williams' hamstring is worse than first reported, and Puka Nacua is out a second week.
Biggest Overreactions of Week 3
Four Week 3 takes the box score doesn't back, plus the one matchup call from our preview that actually held up.
5 Breakout Dynasty WRs to Target in 2026
Five 2026 dynasty WR names with a real role change: a $114 million Colts bet, a hamstring hangover that hid a top-10 start, and a Browns rookie still listed WR3.
Jalen Hurts Enters a Reboot Year — Is His Dynasty Price Still Fair?
Jalen Hurts lost his top receiver and his fourth offensive coordinator in six years. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value heading into 2026.
Lamar Jackson Is 29 — Is the Rushing Floor Starting to Crack?
Lamar Jackson finished QB20 in an injury-wrecked 2025. Here's an honest look at whether it's a one-year dip or the start of a real decline.
Is Patrick Mahomes a Safe Dynasty Pick After ACL Tear?
Patrick Mahomes tore his ACL and LCL in December. Here's what his recovery timeline means for his dynasty value heading into 2026.
Half-PPR points
35.1
PPG
11.7
Rank so far
QB32
Key stats
2026 week shape
0/3 Boom 0%
0/3 Bust 0%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB32so far | 35.1 | 11.7 | 615 | 2 | 65 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB12 | 271.9 | 16.0 | 3693 | 26 | 382 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB4 | 365.8 | 21.5 | 4500 | 41 | 378 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB10 | 274.1 | 16.1 | 4044 | 28 | 163 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB29 | 121.4 | 10.1 | 2163 | 10 | 89 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB26 | 180.9 | 12.9 | 3010 | 17 | 134 | 1 | — | 11 | — |
| 2020 | QB17 | 248.1 | 15.5 | 3563 | 26 | 165 | 1 | 1 | 6 | — |
| 2019 | QB19 | 229.2 | 14.3 | 3827 | 22 | 141 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | QB16 | 240.1 | 17.2 | 3725 | 27 | 131 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W3 | 11.3 | MIN | 58 plays · 64% pass | 217 / 1 TD | 6 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 12.2 | CLE | 59 plays · 58% pass | 182 / 1 TD | 29 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 11.6 | CIN | 48 plays · 58% pass | 216 | 30 / 1 TD | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 3 Engine grade
Projected 18.6 · scored 11.3 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +7.3.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 97.1% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
97.3%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (1 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
30th of 38
29th of 38
24th of 38
22nd of 38
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.