QB · BUF · #17
He ranks QB1 through 5 games, after QB1. The season isn't over.
Picked by the Bills in 2018 via a trade with the Buccaneers.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
9,639
Range 9,101–9,706
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
142.5 pts
28.5 PPG
1249 pass yds · 7 pass TD · 239 rush yds
Week 6 projection
23.5 pts
@ LV · floor–ceiling 13.6–34.8
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Versatility ×1.02
Light floor from multi-role usage (rush+receive or dual-threat).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Allen threw for 1,249 yards and 7 TDs in 2026, ranking QB1 through 5 games. At 30, he's in the typical QB peak window. 2026 still treats him as a QB you start every week. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Josh Allen.
Week 6 Matchups: Who's Set Up to Win
Las Vegas has allowed 27, 30 and 45 points in its last three games and Dallas has allowed 34, 30 and 24. Week 6 matchups to act on, with four teams on bye.
Monday Morning QB: Week 4
Drake Maye answered two bad games with the week's best quarterback line, three passers threw 158 times without a win, and our top four quarterbacks all missed.
Week 4 Fantasy Football Rankings
Josh Allen and Brock Purdy lead a quarterback board reshaped by injury, plus who's actually startable at every position this week.
Biggest Overreactions of Week 2
Four Week 2 takes already spreading that the data doesn't fully back — plus one call from last week that just paid off.
Monday Morning QB: Week 2's Best Arms
Josh Allen delivered the shootout we called, Bryce Young passed his second-data-point test, and Cooper Rush came back to earth.
Monday Morning QB: Week 1's Best Arms, Checked Against the Board
The best QB performances of Week 1, checked against what NextDyne's board projected coming in — and what it means for dynasty value.
AFC East Dynasty Fantasy Outlook 2026
A team-by-team dynasty breakdown of the AFC East for 2026 — Josh Allen, De'Von Achane, Drake Maye, and a Miami passing game that changed completely.
Starting QB Stats Look Down From 2015. The Box Score Is Lying to You.
Starting QB passing yards and TDs are down from the 2015-2020 peak. The data says it's fewer attempts, not worse quarterbacks — here's what that means for dynasty value.
Is Josh Allen Still Dynasty's Top QB at 30?
Josh Allen turns 30 this year, and he's still dynasty's clear No. 1 QB, well clear of Jalen Hurts and the rest of the field. Here's why.
Jalen Hurts Enters a Reboot Year — Is His Dynasty Price Still Fair?
Jalen Hurts lost his top receiver and his fourth offensive coordinator in six years. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value heading into 2026.
Lamar Jackson Is 29 — Is the Rushing Floor Starting to Crack?
Lamar Jackson finished QB20 in an injury-wrecked 2025. Here's an honest look at whether it's a one-year dip or the start of a real decline.
Bills Extend O'Cyrus Torrence — How It Helps Josh Allen
Buffalo locked right guard O'Cyrus Torrence on a four-year, $78.4 million deal with $46 million guaranteed. Here's why that matters for Josh Allen in dynasty.
Bills S C.J. Gardner-Johnson Calf Strain — Secondary Depth Watch
Bills S C.J. Gardner-Johnson left camp with a lower calf strain. What the early-camp injury means for Buffalo secondary depth and dynasty/IDP monitoring.
Half-PPR points
142.5
PPG
28.5
Rank so far
QB1
Key stats
2026 week shape
3/5 Boom 60%
0/5 Bust 0%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB1so far | 142.5 | 28.5 | 1249 | 7 | 239 | 8 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2025 | QB1 | 364.6 | 22.8 | 3668 | 25 | 579 | 14 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB2 | 379.0 | 23.7 | 3731 | 28 | 531 | 12 | — | 7 | 1 |
| 2023 | QB1 | 392.6 | 23.1 | 4306 | 29 | 524 | 15 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB2 | 395.5 | 24.7 | 4283 | 35 | 762 | 7 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB1 | 402.6 | 23.7 | 4407 | 36 | 763 | 6 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB1 | 395.6 | 24.7 | 4544 | 37 | 421 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| 2019 | QB6 | 288.6 | 18.0 | 3089 | 20 | 510 | 9 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | QB21 | 206.9 | 17.2 | 2044 | 10 | 631 | 8 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 30.5Boom | LA | 56 plays · 34% pass | 210 / 1 TD | 121 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 18.5 | NE | 53 plays · 62% pass | 253 / 1 TD | 4 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 17.0 | LAC | 59 plays · 44% pass | 204 | 22 / 2 TD | 1 · 1 rec |
| 2026 W2 | 40.8Boom | DET | 67 plays · 46% pass | 248 / 3 TD | 69 / 2 TD | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 35.7Boom | HOU | 50 plays · 58% pass | 334 / 2 TD | 23 / 2 TD | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 22.6 · scored 30.5 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss -7.9.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 92.2% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
93.8%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (7 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
22nd of 38
31st of 38
18th of 38
3rd of 38
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.