QB · SEA · #14
Sam Darnold
- Height
- HT 6'3"
- Weight
- WT 225 lbs
- Birth date
- Jun 5, 1997 (age 29.4)
- College
- USC
Through 4 games the rank is QB27, off a QB14 season. Wait for more games before calling it a decline.
Traded from NYJ to CAR (Apr 5, 2021).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
3,785
Range 3,469–4,083
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
49.8 pts
12.5 PPG
755 pass yds · 7 pass TD · 16 rush yds
Week 6 projection
13.5 pts
@ DEN · floor–ceiling 6.6–20.7
Dynasty Value Score over time
History starts Preseason 2026.
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
WatchDarnold threw for 755 yards and 7 TDs in 2026, ranking QB27 through 4 games. Darnold won Super Bowl LX with Seattle in the 2025 season, but fantasy value slipped as Seattle shifted him into a game-manager role after Week 10 and leaned on defense and the run. 2026 still looks like a starter, not a stash. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Sam Darnold.
- NewsNextDyne
Week 3 Injury Report: Three Young Quarterbacks Down
Week 3 injury report: Jaxson Dart is done for the regular season, Jayden Daniels is doubtful with the same elbow, and Caleb Williams is still week to week.
- NewsNextDyne
Sam Darnold "Dodged a Bullet." Here's His Updated Timeline.
Sam Darnold's MRI results are in — the Seahawks say he "dodged a bullet." Here's his return timeline and updated dynasty value after Week 1.
- NewsNextDyne
Sam Darnold Is Out for the Rest of Week 1. Here's What We Know.
Sam Darnold is out for the rest of Seattle's Week 1 opener with a right hip injury. Here's what it means for his dynasty value and Drew Lock's outlook.
- NewsNextDyne
The Season Is Here — What to Know Before Week 1 Kicks Off
Dynasty and redraft managers, the season starts tonight. Here's every Week 1 storyline, injury tag, and lineup question that matters before kickoff.
- StrategyNextDyne
Jayden Daniels Missed Half of 2025 — Is He Still a Top-Tier Dynasty QB?
Jayden Daniels played just 7 games in 2025 due to three separate injuries. The latest board keeps him in the QB1 mix — 6,973 DVS, 13th among quarterbacks — with an 18.7-point 2026 projection.
- StrategyNextDyne
Is T.J. Hockenson Still a Top-5 Dynasty TE?
Kyler Murray just won the Vikings' starting job over J.J. McCarthy. Here's what it means for T.J. Hockenson's dynasty value after two down years.
- StrategyNextDyne
Is JSN's Breakout Year Real or a Product of Volume?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba led the NFL in receiving yards, won a Super Bowl, and just signed a $168.6 million extension. Here's why his dynasty value isn't a volume mirage.
2026 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
49.8
PPG
12.5
Rank so far
QB27
Key stats
- Pass yds: 755 (QB27)
- Pass TD: 7 (QB16)
2026 week shape
1/4 Boom 25%
1/4 Bust 25%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB27so far | 49.8 | 12.5 | 755 | 7 | 16 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB14 | 235.4 | 13.8 | 4048 | 25 | 95 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB9 | 308.0 | 18.1 | 4319 | 35 | 212 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB54 | 23.4 | 2.3 | 297 | 2 | 15 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB35 | 86.3 | 14.4 | 1143 | 7 | 106 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB28 | 157.3 | 13.1 | 2527 | 9 | 222 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB32 | 134.0 | 11.2 | 2208 | 9 | 217 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB27 | 189.2 | 14.6 | 3024 | 19 | 62 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | QB27 | 168.1 | 12.9 | 2865 | 17 | 135 | 1 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2026)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 8.3 | SF | 55 plays · 53% pass | 195 / 1 TD | 5 | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 13.3 | LAC | 55 plays · 40% pass | 168 / 2 TD | 6 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 27.7Boom | WAS | 64 plays · 72% pass | 379 / 4 TD | 5 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 0.5Bust | NE | 46 plays · 52% pass | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 16.1 · scored 8.3 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +7.8.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
- SF-10% · 211 pass yards
- LAC-13% · 205 pass yards
- WAS+15% · 269 pass yards
- NE-5% · 223 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 96.2% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
99.5%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 21.0%
- On-target throw %
- 79.8%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.4s
Durability
- 202417 G
- 202517 G
- 20264 G · 1 Out
- 16.5 projected games — recent completed seasons at a full slate.
R1 (3 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
- Time to throw
- 3.27s
- Aggressiveness
- 21.7%
- CPOE
- 6.1pp
- Air yds to sticks
- -2.0yd
37th of 38
3rd of 38
6th of 38
28th of 38
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Sam Darnold's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Darnold scores 3,785 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Sam Darnold's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 14.5 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Sam Darnold in dynasty right now?
- Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.